Republic Services, Inc. RSG

Revenue Intelligence Report • 70 quarters of SEC filing data • Updated 2026-03-06

The company's revenue is primarily driven by its effective management of Selling, General & Administrative (SG&A) expenses, where every dollar spent generates an impressive $9.91 in long-run revenue. With a solid model accuracy of 3.4% MAPE, recent predictions closely aligned with actual results, indicating a reliable forecasting capability. The fiscal year forecast anticipates a revenue increase to $17 billion, reflecting a 2.8% year-over-year growth, positioning the company for continued financial strength and stability. Investors can expect a strong return on investment as the company leverages its operational efficiencies to drive future growth.

Next FY Revenue
$17.05B
+2.8% YoY
SG&A Multiplier
$9.91 per $1
Model Accuracy
3.4% MAPE
Holdout validation: The model predicted $4B vs the actual $4B — an error of 0.9%.
Note: Republic Services, Inc. does not report R&D expenses separately. This analysis uses SG&A spending only.

Revenue Forecast

RSG Revenue Forecast

Quarterly Detail

QuarterModel ForecastActual95% RangeYoY GrowthStatus
Q4 2025 $4B $4B $4B – $4B +3.2% ✓ In range
Q2 2026 $4B $4B – $5B +4.5%
Q3 2026 $4B $4B – $5B +0.6%
Q4 2026 $4B $4B – $5B +2.0%
Q1 2027 $4B $4B – $5B +4.1%

How Spending Drives Revenue

RSG Spending Timing
Reading this chart: Each line shows the cumulative revenue generated per $1 spent over subsequent quarters. The effect builds over 4-5 quarters as investments mature.

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