Tko Group Holdings, Inc. TKO
Revenue Intelligence Report • 13 quarters of SEC filing data • Updated 2026-03-06
The company's revenue is primarily driven by its strategic investments in sales and marketing, with a significant return on investment as each dollar of SG&A spending generates $2.94 in long-term revenue. Despite a recent quarterly revenue of $1,038 million, the FY forecast projects a decline to $2 billion, reflecting a 59.7% year-over-year decrease. The model's accuracy, with an 11.6% MAPE, indicates potential volatility in revenue predictions, as evidenced by a substantial error in the holdout test. Investors should consider the company's ability to leverage its spending effectively while navigating the challenges posed by the current market outlook.
Revenue Forecast
Quarterly Detail
| Quarter | Model Forecast | Actual | 95% Range | YoY Growth | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | $1B | $1B | $0B – $1B | -26.6% | ✗ Outside range |
| Q2 2026 | $1B | $0B – $1B | -37.2% | ||
| Q3 2026 | $0B | $0B – $1B | -62.5% | ||
| Q4 2026 | $0B | $-0B – $1B | -66.1% | ||
| Q1 2027 | $0B | $-0B – $1B | -76.9% |
How Spending Drives Revenue
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