Vulcan Materials Company VMC

Revenue Intelligence Report • 70 quarters of SEC filing data • Updated 2026-03-06

Vulcan Materials Company demonstrates a strong correlation between its selling, general, and administrative (SG&A) expenses and revenue growth, with a 1% increase in SG&A leading to a 1.68% rise in revenue, indicating effective spending strategies. The company's latest quarterly revenue of $1,913 million aligns closely with its predictive model, showcasing a robust accuracy of 6.6% MAPE. Looking ahead, Vulcan is projected to achieve $8 billion in revenue for the fiscal year, reflecting a 3.5% year-over-year growth, positioning it favorably for continued investment and expansion. Investors can expect a solid return on investment driven by strategic spending and a positive revenue outlook.

Next FY Revenue
$8.22B
+3.5% YoY
SG&A Elasticity
1.68x
Model Accuracy
6.6% MAPE
Holdout validation: The model predicted $2B vs the actual $2B — an error of 0.8%.
Note: Vulcan Materials Company does not report R&D expenses separately. This analysis uses SG&A spending only.

Revenue Forecast

VMC Revenue Forecast

Quarterly Detail

QuarterModel ForecastActual95% RangeYoY GrowthStatus
Q4 2025 $2B $2B $2B – $2B +4.0% ✓ In range
Q2 2026 $2B $1B – $2B +10.7%
Q3 2026 $2B $2B – $3B +0.5%
Q4 2026 $2B $2B – $3B -1.0%
Q1 2027 $2B $1B – $3B +6.0%

How Spending Drives Revenue

VMC Spending Timing
Reading this chart: Each line shows the cumulative elasticity — how a 1% increase in spending translates to revenue growth over subsequent quarters. The effect builds over 4-5 quarters as investments compound.

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