Williams Companies, Inc. WMB

Revenue Intelligence Report • 69 quarters of SEC filing data • Updated 2026-03-15

Revenue is driven by the company’s core midstream operations, with the latest quarterly revenue about $2.92 billion and a 69-quarter data history underpinning a linear forecasting approach. The model implies a strong return on SG&A, estimating that each $1 of SG&A spend yields about $15.43 in long-run revenue, highlighting SG&A leverage as a key revenue driver. In out-of-sample tests, the model predicted $2.8B vs. actual $2.9B (3.4% error), with an overall MAPE of 15.9%, indicating reasonable forecast accuracy given the data. The FY forecast calls for about $12B in revenue, up roughly 3.5% year over year, suggesting a modest growth trajectory anchored by core asset economics and SG&A efficiency, while R&D data is not available in the dataset.

Investment Thesis

At 15.9% MAPE, the model captures Williams Companies, Inc.'s broad revenue trajectory, though quarterly variability suggests sensitivity to external factors. Each $1 of SG&A spending generates $15.43 in revenue, reflecting strong commercial efficiency.

Next FY Revenue
$11.9B
+3.5% YoY
SG&A Multiplier
$15.43 per $1
Model Accuracy
15.9% MAPE
Holdout validation: The model predicted $2.8B vs the actual $2.9B — an error of 3.4%.
Note: Williams Companies, Inc. does not report R&D expenses separately. This analysis uses SG&A spending only.

Revenue Forecast

WMB Revenue Forecast

Quarterly Detail

QuarterModel ForecastActual95% RangeYoY GrowthStatus
Q3 2025 $2.8B $2.9B $2.1B – $3.5B +6.4% ✓ In range
Q4 2025 $2.9B $1.9B – $3.9B +5.8%
Q2 2026 $3.1B $1.9B – $4.3B +1.9%
Q3 2026 $2.9B $1.5B – $4.3B +4.7%
Q4 2026 $3.0B $1.4B – $4.5B +1.9%

Seasonal Factors

Multiplicative seasonal adjustment: These factors capture Williams Companies, Inc.'s systematic quarterly revenue patterns relative to the trend model. A factor of 1.05 means that quarter typically runs 5% above the underlying trend; 0.95 means 5% below. Factors are computed as the median of (actual / fitted) across all available quarters.
Fiscal QuarterSeasonal Factorvs TrendInterpretationObs.
FQ1 (Sep–Nov) 1.0051 +0.5% In line with trend 17
FQ2 (Dec–Feb) 0.937 -6.3% -6.3% below trend 16
FQ3 (Mar–May) 1.0855 +8.5% +8.5% above trend 16
FQ4 (Jun–Aug) 1.0761 +7.6% +7.6% above trend 16

How Spending Drives Revenue

WMB Spending Timing
Reading this chart: Each line shows the cumulative revenue generated per $1 spent over subsequent quarters. The effect builds over 4-5 quarters as investments mature.

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