Expedia Group, Inc. EXPE

Revenue Intelligence Report • 66 quarters of SEC filing data • Updated 2026-03-06

Expedia Group, Inc. has demonstrated a strong revenue generation capability, with its latest quarterly revenue reaching $3.547 billion, driven primarily by effective SG&A spending that yields $1.76 in long-run revenue for every dollar spent. Despite a holdout test indicating a 13.2% prediction error, the company's model accuracy remains robust at 7.0% MAPE. Looking ahead, Expedia is projected to achieve $17 billion in revenue for the fiscal year, reflecting a 14.2% year-over-year growth, underscoring a positive outlook for financial investors. The company's strategic focus on optimizing SG&A spending positions it well for sustained revenue growth in the competitive travel industry.

Next FY Revenue
$16.82B
+14.2% YoY
SG&A Multiplier
$1.76 per $1
Model Accuracy
7.0% MAPE
Holdout validation: The model predicted $4B vs the actual $4B — an error of 13.2%.
Note: Expedia Group, Inc. does not report R&D expenses separately. This analysis uses SG&A spending only.

Revenue Forecast

EXPE Revenue Forecast

Quarterly Detail

QuarterModel ForecastActual95% RangeYoY GrowthStatus
Q4 2025 $4B $4B $4B – $4B +26.1% ✗ Outside range
Q2 2026 $4B $3B – $4B +27.9%
Q3 2026 $4B $3B – $5B +9.3%
Q4 2026 $4B $4B – $5B +1.0%
Q1 2027 $4B $4B – $5B +24.2%

How Spending Drives Revenue

EXPE Spending Timing
Reading this chart: Each line shows the cumulative revenue generated per $1 spent over subsequent quarters. The effect builds over 4-5 quarters as investments mature.

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