Fastenal Co FAST
Revenue Intelligence Report • 70 quarters of SEC filing data • Updated 2026-03-06
Fastenal Co's revenue growth is primarily driven by strategic investments in selling, general, and administrative expenses, with a demonstrated elasticity of 1.29%, indicating a strong return on investment for every 1% increase in SG&A. Despite a recent quarterly revenue of $2,028 million, the company's holdout test revealed a slight forecasting error of 4.2%, suggesting room for improvement in predictive accuracy. With a fiscal year forecast projecting $9 billion in revenue, reflecting an 11.2% year-over-year increase, the outlook remains positive as the company continues to leverage its operational efficiencies for sustained growth. Investors can expect that continued focus on effective spending will further enhance revenue performance in the coming periods.
Revenue Forecast
Quarterly Detail
| Quarter | Model Forecast | Actual | 95% Range | YoY Growth | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | $2B | $2B | $2B – $2B | +15.8% | ✓ In range |
| Q2 2026 | $2B | $2B – $2B | +11.5% | ||
| Q3 2026 | $2B | $2B – $2B | +8.8% | ||
| Q4 2026 | $2B | $2B – $3B | +8.4% | ||
| Q1 2027 | $2B | $2B – $3B | +16.4% |
How Spending Drives Revenue
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