Comfort Systems Usa, Inc. FIX

Revenue Intelligence Report • 62 quarters of SEC filing data • Updated 2026-03-06

Comfort Systems USA, Inc. has demonstrated a strong revenue growth trajectory, with a recent quarterly revenue of $2.646 billion, reflecting the effectiveness of its strategic investments in selling, general, and administrative expenses, which yield a 1.51% revenue increase for every 1% increase in SG&A. Despite a 7.9% error in holdout testing, the company's model accuracy of 3.8% MAPE indicates a reliable forecasting capability. With a fiscal year revenue forecast of $12 billion, representing a 30.6% year-over-year growth, the outlook remains robust, driven by effective cost management and operational efficiencies. Investors can expect a positive return on investment as the company continues to capitalize on its revenue elasticity and market opportunities.

Next FY Revenue
$11.89B
+30.6% YoY
SG&A Elasticity
1.51x
Model Accuracy
3.8% MAPE
Holdout validation: The model predicted $2B vs the actual $3B — an error of 7.9%.
Note: Comfort Systems Usa, Inc. does not report R&D expenses separately. This analysis uses SG&A spending only.

Revenue Forecast

FIX Revenue Forecast

Quarterly Detail

QuarterModel ForecastActual95% RangeYoY GrowthStatus
Q4 2025 $2B $3B $2B – $3B +30.5% ✓ In range
Q2 2026 $3B $2B – $3B +38.7%
Q3 2026 $3B $2B – $3B +32.3%
Q4 2026 $3B $3B – $4B +29.8%
Q1 2027 $3B $3B – $4B +24.4%

How Spending Drives Revenue

FIX Spending Timing
Reading this chart: Each line shows the cumulative elasticity — how a 1% increase in spending translates to revenue growth over subsequent quarters. The effect builds over 4-5 quarters as investments compound.

Want this analysis for your portfolio?

I build custom revenue intelligence reports for investors and companies using SEC filing data, econometric modeling, and AI-powered insights.

Get in Touch