Monolithic Power Systems Inc MPWR

Revenue Intelligence Report • 7 quarters of SEC filing data • Updated 2026-03-06

Monolithic Power Systems Inc demonstrates a strong relationship between its selling, general, and administrative (SG&A) expenses and revenue growth, with a 1% increase in SG&A correlating to an 0.82% rise in revenue, highlighting the effectiveness of its spending. Despite a recent quarterly revenue of $50M and a forecasted FY revenue of $197M, reflecting a slight decline of 2.7% year-over-year, the company's model accuracy shows a manageable 2.5% MAPE, indicating reliability in projections. However, a recent holdout test revealed a significant discrepancy in revenue predictions, suggesting potential challenges in maintaining growth momentum. Investors should closely monitor the company's ability to leverage its SG&A investments to drive revenue in the upcoming quarters.

Next FY Revenue
$197.11M
-2.7% YoY
SG&A Elasticity
0.82x
Model Accuracy
2.5% MAPE
Holdout validation: The model predicted $58M vs the actual $50M — an error of 14.9%.
Note: Monolithic Power Systems Inc does not report R&D expenses separately. This analysis uses SG&A spending only.

Revenue Forecast

MPWR Revenue Forecast

Quarterly Detail

QuarterModel ForecastActual95% RangeYoY GrowthStatus
Q2 2012 $58M $50M $54M – $62M +30.5% ✗ Outside range
Q3 2012 $43M $39M – $47M -16.3%
Q4 2012 $57M $51M – $63M +6.9%
Q1 2013 $42M $37M – $48M -11.6%
Q2 2013 $55M $48M – $64M +9.5%

How Spending Drives Revenue

MPWR Spending Timing
Reading this chart: Each line shows the cumulative elasticity — how a 1% increase in spending translates to revenue growth over subsequent quarters. The effect builds over 4-5 quarters as investments compound.

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