Micron Technology, Inc. MU
Revenue Intelligence Report • 50 quarters of SEC filing data • Updated 2026-03-06
Micron Technology, Inc. demonstrates a strong relationship between its investments in research and development (R&D) and selling, general, and administrative expenses (SG&A) with revenue growth, showing elasticities of 1.10% and 1.23% respectively. Despite a recent quarterly revenue of $13.6 billion, the company is forecasting a decline to $29 billion for the fiscal year, reflecting a 26.3% year-over-year drop. The model's accuracy, with an 8.6% MAPE, indicates potential volatility in revenue predictions, as evidenced by a significant discrepancy in the holdout test. Investors should consider the effectiveness of Micron's spending strategies and the challenging market conditions as they evaluate future performance and returns.
Revenue Forecast
Quarterly Detail
| Quarter | Model Forecast | Actual | 95% Range | YoY Growth | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 2025 | $9B | $14B | $7B – $12B | +33.1% | ✗ Outside range |
| Q4 2025 | $8B | $6B – $11B | -7.9% | ||
| Q1 2026 | $8B | $5B – $12B | -3.3% | ||
| Q2 2026 | $7B | $4B – $11B | -24.7% | ||
| Q3 2026 | $6B | $4B – $11B | -52.8% |
How Spending Drives Revenue
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